

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 45.2% ( | 22.9% ( | 31.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.22% ( | 36.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.06% ( | 58.94% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( | 16.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.33% ( | 46.67% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( | 22.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.27% ( | 56.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
| 2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
| 3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
| 6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
| 9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
| 11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
| 12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
| 14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
| 15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
| 18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
| 20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
