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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Morecambe

Salford City
3 - 1
Morecambe

McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Salford City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-3 Morecambe

Salford City might have the home advantage this weekend, but that does not make them the favorites and their poor run of form could continue here. The defensive issues that the Ammies have dealt with throughout the season is likely to be their downfall in this one, which Morecambe will attempt to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
45.2% (1.437 1.44) 22.9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 31.9% (-1.372 -1.37)
Both teams to score 64.15% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (-0.227 -0.23)36.77% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (-0.246 -0.25)58.94% (0.245 0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.47 0.47)16.74% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.834 0.83)46.67% (-0.835 -0.84)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.875 -0.88)22.95% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-1.305 -1.31)56.73% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 45.2%
    Morecambe 31.9%
    Draw 22.89%
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.206 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Salford City vs Morecambe

Salford City
12.5%
Draw
50.0%
Morecambe
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
1-0
Salford City
Mellon (25')

Lund (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Morecambe
2-1
Salford City
Mendes Gomes (90+4'), Wildig (90+6')
Songo'o (49'), Lavelle (90')
Thomas-Asante (45+1')
Threlkeld (90+2'), Turnbull (90+5'), Hladky (90+9')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Salford City
2-1
Morecambe
Hunter (41', 44')
Denny (6'), Smith (10'), Henderson (28'), Andrade (36'), Elliott (86')
Stockton (54')
Lavelle (40'), Songo'o (61'), Cooney (90+3')
Sep 29, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Salford City
2-0
Morecambe
Wilson (44'), Hunter (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (75'), Touray (79')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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