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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Norwich logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Norwich

FT

Stacey (45'), Sainz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Norwich City

Norwich have the attacking power to really hurt Middlesbrough, with Sainz and Sargent scoring 32 times between them in the Championship this term, but we are backing Boro to get the result that they require to keep their promotion hopes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
57.18% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 22.17% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 20.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)43.28% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)65.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)14.91% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)43.28% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15% (0.012 0.01)34.85% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.58% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.18%
    Norwich City 20.65%
    Draw 22.17%
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.65%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Norwich

Middlesbrough
64.3%
Draw
16.7%
Norwich City
19.0%
42
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
3-3
Middlesbrough
Sainz (8', 71'), Dieng (80' og.)
Ben Slimane (59'), Fisher (74')
McLean (87')
Conway (13', 40'), Azaz (45+2')
Morris (23'), Edmundson (25'), McGree (70')
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-1
Norwich
Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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