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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Norwich logo

Plymouth
2 - 1
Norwich

Hardie (24', 29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sargent (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 West Brom
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Norwich City

Despite a slight improvement in recent weeks, it is difficult to see the hosts winning this one. Norwich have plenty of strength in attack, and Plymouth's defence is the most generous in the division, so we only see this match going one way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Plymouth Argyle has a probability of 28.4% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win is 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.68%).

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawNorwich City
28.4% (3.41 3.41) 24.72% (1.047 1.05) 46.88% (-4.454 -4.45)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.488 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-2.02 -2.02)47.12% (2.023 2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-1.908 -1.91)69.35% (1.911 1.91)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (1.575 1.58)30.37% (-1.571 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (1.837 1.84)66.57% (-1.834 -1.83)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (-2.563 -2.56)20.16% (2.567 2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (-4.278 -4.28)52.45% (4.28 4.28)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 28.4%
    Norwich City 46.88%
    Draw 24.71%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.883 0.88)
2-1 @ 6.96% (0.603 0.6)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.688 0.69)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.346 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.335 0.34)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.4%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.54 0.54)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.503 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.633 -0.63)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.614 -0.61)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.723 -0.72)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.437 -0.44)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.456 -0.46)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.88%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Norwich

Plymouth Argyle
30.8%
Draw
3.8%
Norwich City
65.4%
26
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Norwich
6-1
Plymouth
Sainz (2', 17', 72'), Duffy (51'), Ben Slimane (80'), Crnac (82')
Bundu (39')
Sorinola (38')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Plymouth
6-2
Norwich
Whittaker (15', 45+3', 59'), Scarr (35'), Azaz (45+5'), Cundle (90+7')
Scarr (68')
Idah (72', 78')
Mar 14, 2009 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Plymouth
Mooney (53')
Doherty (42'), Mooney (54'), Russell (65')
Russell (90')

Seip (7')
Sep 13, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Norwich
Gallagher (90')
Timar (20'), Walton (55')
Timar (34')
Sibierski (59'), Lupoli (15')
Omozusi (22'), Lupoli (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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