Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 4, 2025 at 8pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
0 - 2
Middlesbrough

Gueye (23'), Buckley (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Conway (2'), Iling-Junior (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
32.39% ( 0.4)	26.19% ( 0.36)	41.41% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

-1.39)

51.61% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

-1.22)

73.4% (

1.21)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-0.43)

29.88% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

-0.52)

65.97% (

0.51)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

-1)

24.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

-1.42)

59.14% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 32.39%

Middlesbrough 41.41%

Draw 26.18%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.41%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers

27.7%

Draw

22.9%

Middlesbrough

49.4%

Head to Head

Jan 11, 2025 12pm

Third Round

Middlesbrough

0-1

Blackburn

McCabe (47')

Weimann (70')

> Preview

Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 17

Middlesbrough

0-1

Blackburn

McGree (13')

Hyam (77')

> Preview

Mar 16, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 38

Middlesbrough

0-0

Blackburn

Latte Lath (31'), Ayling (57'), Greenwood (90')

Wharton (31'), Hedges (81'), Ayari (89')

> Preview

Sep 16, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 6

Blackburn

2-1

Middlesbrough

Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')

Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')

> Preview

Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

Blackburn

1-2

Middlesbrough

Hedges (5')

Forss (46'), McGree (56')

> Preview

Form Guide

Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn

Blackburn 1-2 Cardiff

Stoke 1-0 Blackburn

Derby 2-1 Blackburn

Blackburn 1-1 Norwich

Swansea 3-0 Blackburn

Middlesbrough 2-1 Oxford Utd

Luton 0-0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR

Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby

Stoke 1-3 Middlesbrough

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table