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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Gueye (23'), Buckley (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conway (2'), Iling-Junior (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Middlesbrough

Blackburn have beaten Middlesbrough twice this season, with two 1-0 victories in both the league and the FA Cup. However, we think that Boro will get their revenge for those defeats with a narrow victory at Ewood Park on Friday evening, as Rovers are in poor form of late, while the visitors appear to be back in form following a bad run of their own earlier in the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
32.39% (0.399 0.4) 26.19% (0.36 0.36) 41.41% (-0.765 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-1.025 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38% (-1.387 -1.39)51.61% (1.381 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (-1.219 -1.22)73.4% (1.214 1.21)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)29.88% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (-0.517 -0.52)65.97% (0.511 0.51)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-1.001 -1)24.63% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-1.42 -1.42)59.14% (1.415 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 32.39%
    Middlesbrough 41.41%
    Draw 26.18%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.381 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.41%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
27.7%
Draw
22.9%
Middlesbrough
49.4%
83
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12pm
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
0-0
Blackburn
Latte Lath (31'), Ayling (57'), Greenwood (90')
Wharton (31'), Hedges (81'), Ayari (89')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-1
Middlesbrough
Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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