Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.