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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Blackburn logo

Derby
2 - 1
Blackburn

Forsyth (3'), Adams (7')
Armegang (70'), Yates (74'), Clarke (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gueye (40')
Brittain (42'), Tronstad (81'), Carter (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.o

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Blackburn Rovers

Eustace took a risk in leaving Blackburn for Derby earlier this year, and so far it has not paid off. We think his old employers will get the better of his Derby side this weekend, as the hosts continue to struggle in their battle against relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
39.09% (0.183 0.18) 28.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 32.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 45.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.21% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)60.79% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.16% (-0.061 -0.06)80.83% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (0.067999999999998 0.07)30.24% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (0.079999999999998 0.08)66.41% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)34.66% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (-0.197 -0.2)71.39% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 39.08%
    Blackburn Rovers 32.29%
    Draw 28.61%
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39.08%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackburn

Derby County
25.0%
Draw
22.9%
Blackburn Rovers
52.1%
48
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Blackburn
4-2
Derby
Dolan (19'), Weimann (72'), Szmodics (76'), Ohashi (84')
Dolan (87')
Nelson (67'), Wilson (88')
Barkhuizen (11'), Collins (82'), Cashin (89')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Blackburn
3-1
Derby
Wharton (53'), Dolan (59'), Gallagher (90+7')
Travis (83')
Morrison (28')
Morrison (67')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-2
Blackburn
Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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