The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 8 | 69 |
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Derby County
This is a huge game for both sides at a vital stage of the season, and it is set to be a fascinating match at Ewood Park. Derby are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we are expecting Blackburn's home form to help them secure an important three points here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Derby County |
| 55.79% | 24.43% | 19.78% |
| Both teams to score 47.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
