The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fulham | 46 | 63 | 90 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 46 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 17 | 82 |
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Derby County
After two games without a win, we expect a response from Bournemouth in this match and are predicting the Cherries to triumph. If we have learned anything this season it is to not write off Derby, but it seems a big ask for the Rams to get something in this game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Derby County |
| 71.64% | 18.09% | 10.27% |
| Both teams to score 43.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
