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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Plymouth

Azaz (12'), Conway (90+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bundu (17')
Pleguezuelo (45+2'), Hazard (52')
Edwards (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth's away day troubles are there for all to see, with just one win on the road all season, and despite entering the fixture high on momentum following last week's crucial win, this will be another difficult assignment. Given the opposition in front of them, Boro simply cannot drop any points in this one, with the race for the playoffs threatening to get away from them, but Carrick's men should have the quality to claim victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawPlymouth Argyle
75.7% (0.14100000000001 0.14) 15.91% (0.086 0.09) 8.39% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 43.13% (-1.325 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-1.192 -1.19)42.15% (1.194 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-1.206 -1.21)64.56% (1.208 1.21)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (-0.261 -0.26)9.44% (0.2651 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29% (-0.622 -0.62)31.71% (0.626 0.63)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.62% (-1.318 -1.32)52.37% (1.322 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.75% (-0.871 -0.87)86.25% (0.874 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 75.69%
    Plymouth Argyle 8.39%
    Draw 15.91%
MiddlesbroughDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 13.77% (0.41 0.41)
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.48 0.48)
3-0 @ 10.83% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-0 @ 6.39% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-0 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.139 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 75.69%
1-1 @ 7.55% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 15.91%
0-1 @ 3.2% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.44% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 8.39%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Plymouth

Middlesbrough
81.3%
Draw
9.4%
Plymouth Argyle
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Plymouth
3-3
Middlesbrough
Gibson (38'), Gyabi (72'), Bundu (81')
Ogbeta (77'), Gyabi (87')
Howson (50'), Hackney (77'), Latte Lath (84')
Edmundson (70'), Doak (90+6')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
0-2
Plymouth

Ayling (37')
Sorinola (7'), Hardie (31')
Miller (26')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Plymouth
3-3
Middlesbrough
Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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