

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 22.17% ( | 20.89% ( | 56.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( | 35.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( | 57.29% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( | 28.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.22% ( | 64.77% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.65% ( | 12.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.83% ( | 38.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 1-0 @ 4.43% ( 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.24% Total : 22.17% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0-3 @ 5.44% ( 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0-4 @ 2.85% ( 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 3-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 91 |
| 2 | Burnley | 43 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 59 | 14 | 45 | 91 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 43 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 86 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 43 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 67 |
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 66 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 63 |
| 8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 43 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 60 |
| 9 | Millwall | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 60 |
| 10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 43 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 59 |
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 57 |
| 12 | Watford | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 56 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 53 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 53 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 50 |
| 17 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 10 | 19 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 49 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 48 |
| 20 | Hull City | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 |
| 21 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 43 |
| 22 | Luton TownLuton | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 43 |
| 23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 42 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 45 | 84 | -39 | 40 |
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