

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 66.4% ( | 18.05% ( | 15.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.47% ( | 32.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.82% ( | 54.18% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% | 9.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.03% | 30.96% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( | 33.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.42% ( | 70.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 4-1 @ 4.58% ( 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 5-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 4.97% Total : 66.4% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.05% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0-1 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
| P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
| 3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
| 5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
| 6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
| 7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
| 10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
| 12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
| 13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
| 14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
| 15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
| 18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
| 19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
| 21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
| R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
| R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
| R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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