EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
SEH Sports Ground
Ipswich
3 - 2
Wolves
The Match
Team News
Wolverhampton Wanderers make 10 changes for Tuesday's EFL Cup third-round encounter against Ipswich Town at Portman Road.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 4-3 Blackburn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Ipswich Town 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers (Ipswich to win on penalties)
An in-form Ipswich are a different proposition to a leaky Blackpool for Wolves, who were fortunate to travel home from Luton with a point in the bag and cannot make the fatal mistake of underestimating their Championship counterparts. Despite their penchant for attacking supremacy at home, Ipswich have also been leaking goals at an alarming rate at Portman Road, so this tie may very well need to be settled from 12 yards after an entertaining draw, where Ipswich's recent shootout exploits can create an upset. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
65.19% ( 0.01) | 19.31% ( -0) | 15.5% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% ( -0.03) | 38.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% ( -0.03) | 61.06% ( 0.02) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( -0) | 11.15% ( 0) |
