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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.88% (![]() | 19.34% (![]() | 12.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% (![]() | 45.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% (![]() | 67.37% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.75% (![]() | 12.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.04% (![]() | 37.96% (![]() |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.24% (![]() | 45.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.46% (![]() | 81.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 12.35% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.76% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.34% | 0-1 @ 4.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.77% |