Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
3 - 0
Plymouth

O'Brien (4'), Darling (22'), Key (35')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Randell (21'), Pleguezuelo (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Derby
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
67.88% ( 1.37)	19.34% ( -0.65)	12.77% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 47.6% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

1.18)

45.02% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63% (

1.13)

67.37% (

-1.12)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75% (

0.75)

12.25% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.04% (

1.54)

37.96% (

-1.54)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.24% (

-0.39)

45.76% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.46% (

-0.31)

81.54% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 67.87%

Plymouth Argyle 12.77%

Draw 19.34%

Swansea City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.17% Total : 67.87%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.34%	0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.77%

How you voted: Swansea vs Plymouth

Swansea City

64.2%

Draw

10.5%

Plymouth Argyle

25.3%

Head to Head

Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Plymouth

1-2

Swansea

Bundu (79')

Fulton (44'), Cullen (60')
Key (20'), Peart-Harris (90+3'), Vipotnik (90+4')

> Preview

Feb 3, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 30

Swansea

0-1

Plymouth

Cabango (22'), Cooper (71')

Whittaker (18')
Hazard (71'), Gyabi (76'), Miller (82')

> Preview

Oct 7, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 11

Plymouth

1-3

Swansea

Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')

Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')

> Preview

Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm

Club Friendlies

Plymouth

1-1

Swansea

Hardie (89')

Piroe (6')

> Preview

Aug 24, 2021 7pm

Second Round

Swansea

4-1

Plymouth

Williams (29'), Whittaker (79', 86', 90')
Manning (39'), Bennett (51')

Shirley (63')

Form Guide

Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough

Portsmouth 1-2 Plymouth

Plymouth 0-3 Sheff Weds

Hull City 2-0 Plymouth

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table