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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Swansea
3 - 0
Plymouth

O'Brien (4'), Darling (22'), Key (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Randell (21'), Pleguezuelo (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Derby
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.88% (1.366 1.37)19.34% (-0.649 -0.65)12.77% (-0.716 -0.72)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (1.182 1.18)45.02% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (1.126 1.13)67.37% (-1.124 -1.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (0.745 0.75)12.25% (-0.743 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.04% (1.539 1.54)37.96% (-1.537 -1.54)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.24% (-0.389 -0.39)45.76% (0.391 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.46% (-0.305 -0.31)81.54% (0.307 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 67.87%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.77%
    Draw 19.34%
Swansea CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.35% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.161 0.16)
4-0 @ 4.54% (0.279 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.167 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.116 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 67.87%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.307 -0.31)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.34%
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.77%

How you voted: Swansea vs Plymouth

Swansea City
64.2%
Draw
10.5%
Plymouth Argyle
25.3%
95
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Plymouth
1-2
Swansea
Bundu (79')
Fulton (44'), Cullen (60')
Key (20'), Peart-Harris (90+3'), Vipotnik (90+4')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
0-1
Plymouth

Cabango (22'), Cooper (71')
Whittaker (18')
Hazard (71'), Gyabi (76'), Miller (82')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Plymouth
1-3
Swansea
Cundle (18')
Whittaker (55'), Kesler (79')
Yates (56'), Cooper (68'), Key (90')
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
1-1
Swansea
Hardie (89')
Piroe (6')
Aug 24, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Swansea
4-1
Plymouth
Williams (29'), Whittaker (79', 86', 90')
Manning (39'), Bennett (51')
Shirley (63')