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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 67.88% ( | 19.34% ( | 12.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( | 45.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( | 67.37% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( | 12.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.04% ( | 37.96% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.24% ( | 45.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.46% ( | 81.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 5-0 @ 1.91% ( 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 2-2 @ 3.78% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.34% | 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 1-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.77% |