

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle | 
| 56.26% (  0.05) | 21.84% (  -0.12) | 21.9% (  0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 58.5% (  0.52) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.88% (  0.64) | 40.12% (  -0.63) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.51% (  0.65) | 62.49% (  -0.65) | 
| Swansea City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.86% (  0.23) | 14.14% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.2% (  0.45) | 41.79% (  -0.45) | 
| Plymouth Argyle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.13% (  0.42) | 31.87% (  -0.42) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.68% (  0.48) | 68.31% (  -0.48) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle | 
| 2-1 @ 9.86% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% (  -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.62% (  -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.43% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 5.62% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.68% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 3.15% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% (  0.05) 5-1 @ 1.23% (  0.03) 5-0 @ 1.08% (  0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.26% | 1-1 @ 10.07% (  -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.64% (  0.06) 0-0 @ 4.51% (  -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.4% (  0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.76% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.95% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 1.12% (  0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.9% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 41 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 80 | 28 | 52 | 85 | 
| 2 | Burnley | 41 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 55 | 12 | 43 | 85 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 41 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 83 | 
| 4 | Sunderland | 41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 76 | 
| 5 | Bristol City | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 63 | 
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 41 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 62 | 
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 41 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 60 | 
| 8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 41 | 13 | 18 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 57 | 
| 9 | Millwall | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 57 | 
| 10 | Watford | 41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 56 | 
| 11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 53 | 
| 12 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 41 | 15 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 53 | 
| 13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 53 | 
| 14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 51 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 49 | 
| 16 | Preston North EndPreston | 41 | 10 | 19 | 12 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 49 | 
| 17 | Portsmouth | 41 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 45 | 
| 18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 45 | 
| 19 | Hull City | 41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 44 | 
| 20 | Stoke CityStoke | 41 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 44 | 
| 21 | Derby CountyDerby | 41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 42 | 
| 22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 41 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 42 | 
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 40 | 
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 41 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 81 | -39 | 37 | 
| > Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
