MX23RW : Wednesday, February 7 13:26:08| >> :120:10941:10941:
Plymouth Argyle
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Sutton United
Plymouth
3 - 1
Sutton
Cundle (18'), Hardie (68' pen.), Whittaker (90+1')
Edwards (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Angol (50')
Kizzi (34'), Clay (60')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Watford
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Newport
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Plymouth Argyle 3-0 Sutton United

Plymouth have failed to get any wins since the departure of Schumacher but will be confident of breaking their winless streak on Saturday afternoon. Sutton have struggled in League Two this season, and it is hard to imagine the visitors advancing into the fourth round at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSutton United
57.36% (-0.175 -0.17) 21.15% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.49% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 60.35% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (0.342 0.34)37.41% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (0.36499999999999 0.36)59.64% (-0.358 -0.36)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.060999999999993 0.06)12.91% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.66% (0.119 0.12)39.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (0.372 0.37)30.71% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (0.433 0.43)66.97% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 57.36%
    Sutton United 21.49%
    Draw 21.15%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Sutton

Plymouth Argyle
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Sutton United
11.1%
27
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23156252223051
2Manchester CityMan City22154354252949
3Arsenal23154447222549
4Aston Villa23144549301946
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs23135549351444
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd2312293132-138
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2310673636036
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton239864238435
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle231031048371133
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves239593737032
11Chelsea2394103839-131
12Bournemouth227693041-1127
13Fulham2375113038-826
14Crystal Palace2366112640-1424
15Brentford2264123239-722
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2356122841-1321
17Luton TownLuton2255123242-1020
18Everton2385102630-419
19Burnley2334162447-2313
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2324171959-4010

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!