League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
AFC Wimbledon0 - 1Sutton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Sutton United
They defended better over the weekend, but Sutton United have yet to show much when in possession, and we do not believe their quality in front of goal will drastically improve by Tuesday. Hanging back could work for a while against Wimbledon, but we expect the home side to break through eventually, and one might be all it takes to defeat a Sutton side where morale is understandably low at the moment. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sutton United |
74.11% ( -0.38) | 15.79% ( 0.39) | 10.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
