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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton

Pell (13'), Maghoma (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eastmond (30')
Bugiel (55'), Randall (77'), Milsom (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Sutton United

Although Wimbledon have not been in great form recently, they should have enough about them to beat Sutton. The visitors have really struggled for goals recently, and this is also coupled with the worst away record in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
41.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 28.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 30.5% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.93% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)28.57% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)64.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)35.52% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.058999999999997 0.06)72.28% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 41.25%
    Sutton United 30.5%
    Draw 28.23%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.5%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton

AFC Wimbledon
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Sutton United
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Sutton
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Downer (25'), Biamou (47'), Collins (60'), Bailey (75')

Reeves (22'), Robinson (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient23165235122353
2Stevenage23146334171748
3Northampton TownNorthampton23127438241443
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle23109436231339
5Swindon TownSwindon2410862824438
6Mansfield TownMansfield2311573229338
7Bradford CityBradford2210662721636
8Salford City2210572820835
9BarrowBarrow23112102928135
10Stockport CountyStockport22104833221134
11AFC Wimbledon239772826234
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310492833-534
13Walsall229672720733
14Tranmere RoversTranmere239682519633
15Sutton UnitedSutton2495102330-732
16Grimsby Town227692527-227
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe216781827-925
18Newport CountyNewport2366112125-424
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2264122733-622
20Crawley TownCrawley2356122437-1321
21Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2346132142-2118
22Colchester UnitedColchester2345142031-1117
23Rochdale2243151835-1715
24Gillingham222812727-2014

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