Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.09%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 45.09% ( | 28.01% ( | 26.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.42% ( | 60.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.32% ( | 80.67% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( | 26.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.87% ( | 62.12% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( | 38.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.49% ( | 75.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.68% ( 2-0 @ 9% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.09% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0-0 @ 10.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 13 | 23 | 56 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Salford City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 | Walsall | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 36 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 36 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 35 |
| 14 | Stockport CountyStockport | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 34 |
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 34 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 30 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 26 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 23 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 23 |
| 21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 22 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 19 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 17 |
| 24 | Gillingham | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 14 |
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