Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.3% (![]() | 20.11% (![]() | 65.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.04% (![]() | 44.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.69% (![]() | 67.31% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.61% (![]() | 43.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.38% (![]() | 79.62% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% (![]() | 12.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% (![]() | 39.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4.67% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.3% | 1-1 @ 9.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.11% | 0-2 @ 11.73% (![]() 0-1 @ 11.45% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 65.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
> Full Version |