Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Maritimo |
45.8% (![]() | 27% (![]() | 27.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.11% (![]() | 56.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% (![]() | 77.81% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% (![]() | 24.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% (![]() | 59.37% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.52% (![]() | 36.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.73% (![]() | 73.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.61% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 12.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.76% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 26 | 30 | 57 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
8 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
9 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 38 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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