Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%).
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira | 
| 40.45% | 28.31% | 31.24% | 
| Both teams to score 46.14% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.05% | 59.95% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.8% | 80.2% | 
| Maritimo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.96% | 29.04% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.05% | 64.94% | 
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.02% | 34.98% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.28% | 71.72% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira | 
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.15% Total : 31.24% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 28 | 
| 2 | Braga | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 
| 5 | Casa Pia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 15 | 
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 | 
| 13 | Vizela | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 11 | 
| 14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | 
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 2 | 
| 18 | Maritimo | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 2 | 
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