MX23RW : Friday, March 24 23:57:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Oct 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Wilde (35'), Holmes (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Williams (82')
Ismail (52')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
56.96% (-1.388 -1.39) 23.54% (0.434 0.43) 19.5% (0.953 0.95)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.449 -0.45)50.57% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (-0.399 -0.4)72.49% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)17.55% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (-1.154 -1.15)48.08% (1.154 1.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (0.811 0.81)40.23% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.729 0.73)76.86% (-0.729 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 56.95%
    Newtown AFC 19.5%
    Draw 23.53%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.95%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.254 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.203 0.2)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.5%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-4
Newtown

Edwards (23'), Gosset (72')
Rushton (34'), Williams (48', 51'), Breese (90+4')
Mwandwe (9')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Connah's Quay

Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-2
Newtown

Eardley (43'), Morris (61'), Holmes (90')
Sutton (25'), Holmes (45+1' og.)
Williams (56'), Mwandwe (76')
rhs 2.0
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