Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 59.84% ( | 21.36% ( | 18.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( | 42.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( | 64.69% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% ( | 13.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.98% ( | 41.02% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% ( | 36.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.04% ( | 72.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 5-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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