Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
49.93% (![]() | 23.89% (![]() | 26.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% (![]() | 45.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% (![]() | 67.38% (![]() |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.89% (![]() | 18.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.95% (![]() | 49.05% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.04% (![]() | 30.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.74% (![]() | 67.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.23% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.59% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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