MX23RW : Sunday, April 30 09:57:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arbroath
Ayr United
Cove Rangers
Dundee logo
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Dundee logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dens Park
Ayr United
Dundee
3 - 1
Ayr
Sweeney (13'), Jakubiak (59'), McCowan (80')
Sweeney (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akinyemi (17')
Murdoch (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Championship clash between Dundee and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 0-0 Dundee
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Dundee 1-0 Ayr United

With Queen's Park putting a considerable gap between themselves and these two chasing sides, Tuesday's clash is likely to be a cagey affair given the amount at stake. Promotion arguably means more to Ayr given their 45-year exile from the top flight, but Dundee could have a little too much quality for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAyr United
49.93% (-3.034 -3.03) 23.89% (0.802 0.8) 26.18% (2.226 2.23)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (-1.55 -1.55)45.03% (1.545 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-1.507 -1.51)67.38% (1.502 1.5)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-1.698 -1.7)18.1% (1.693 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-2.982 -2.98)49.05% (2.977 2.98)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (0.97800000000001 0.98)30.96% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (1.133 1.13)67.26% (-1.137 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 49.93%
    Ayr United 26.18%
    Draw 23.89%
DundeeDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.494 -0.49)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.338 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.364 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.416 0.42)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.59 0.59)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.439 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.226 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.207 0.21)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Dundee vs Ayr

Dundee
71.7%
Draw
13.0%
Ayr United
15.2%
46
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
3-1
Dundee
Akinyemi (17', 67'), Houston (62')
Murdoch (73')
Rudden (4')
Sweeney (30')
Sweeney (90+2')
Apr 6, 2021 7pm
Ayr
0-3
Dundee
Anderson (68'), Afolabi (74'), McGowan (87')
Marshall (51'), Mullen (70')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dundee
1-3
Ayr
Sow (86')
Adam (45')
McKenzie (18', 84'), Smith (49')
McKenzie (65'), Sinisalo (71'), Ndaba (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dundee351612761372460
2Queen's ParkQueen's Park351771160471358
3Partick ThistlePartick351681163432056
4Ayr UnitedAyr3515101059421755
5Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness351510105145655
6Greenock MortonMorton35141295142954
7Raith Rovers35119154447-342
8Arbroath35615142947-1833
9Cove Rangers35710183773-3631
10Hamilton AcademicalHamilton3579193163-3230

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