| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Hamilton Academical | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Raith Rovers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ayr United | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 50.15% ( | 25.25% ( | 24.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( | 52.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( | 73.76% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( | 20.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.6% ( | 53.39% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( | 36.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.18% ( | 72.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 28 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 26 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
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