Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
Guinea
2 - 0
Ethiopia
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yohannes (18'), Hamid (25'), Panomo (45')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Guinea and Ethiopia.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Guinea
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Ethiopia |
61.76% ( 1.3) | 23.98% ( -0.42) | 14.27% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 38.51% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
