Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gibraltar
0 - 3
Greece

FT(HT: 0-2)

Masouras (11'), Siopis (45'), Bakasetas (58')
Tsimikas (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Gibraltar and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Greece

All competitions

Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Greece
Sunday, November 20 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

There have been occasions when Gibraltar have impressed on familiar territory, claiming draws or pushing established nations hard in defeat. However, Greece appear to have turned over a new leaf under Poyet, leading us to predict a one-sided victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.33%) and 0-3 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.74%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	Greece
6.59% ( -0.3)	16.97% ( -0.17)	76.45% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 31.71% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.13% (

-0.35)

52.87% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52% (

-0.3)

74.48% (

0.3)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.08% (

-1.05)

63.92% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.47% (

-0.48)

92.53% (

0.48)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.04)

12.1% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.34% (

0.07)

37.66% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 6.59%

Greece 76.44%

Draw 16.97%

Gibraltar	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.49% Total : 6.59%	0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.97%	0-2 @ 17.25% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 16.33% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 12.14% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 6.41% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 76.44%