Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Malta had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Malta win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.