Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Czech Republic
3 - 1
Poland

Krejci (1'), Cvancara (3'), Kuchta (64')
Soucek (22'), Brabec (37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Szymanski (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Czech Republic and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic

All competitions

Last Game: Turkey 2-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	3	11
2	Portugal	6	8	10
3	Switzerland	6	-3	9
4	Czech Republic	6	-8	4

Poland

All competitions

Last Game: France 3-1 Poland
Sunday, December 4 at 3pm in World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

We said: Czech Republic 1-1 Poland

With star talent in both attacks, that should be where the game is won, but Santos's appointment as Poland boss should see them remain strong defensively. A draw would not be a bad result for either side, as long as they can beat the other three weaker nations in their group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Poland win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	Poland
56.4% ( 0.11)	21.94% ( -0.01)	21.66% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 57.78% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.1% (

-0.11)

40.91% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.71% (

-0.11)

63.29% (

0.11)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64%

14.36% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.78% (

-0)

42.22% (

0.01)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.47% (

-0.15)

32.53% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.94% (

-0.17)

69.06% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 56.4%

Poland 21.66%

Draw 21.94%

Czech Republic	Draw	Poland
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.4%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 21.66%