Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.