Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 29.38% ( | 23.64% ( | 46.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.35% ( | 41.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.95% ( | 64.04% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( | 26.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.77% ( | 62.22% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( | 17.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.21% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0-2 @ 7.12% ( 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 2-4 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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