Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 50.62% ( | 24.21% ( | 25.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( | 47.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( | 69.48% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( | 18.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.96% ( | 50.04% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( | 32.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.47% ( | 69.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.62% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| 2 | Ajax | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 46 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 51 | -31 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
| 17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 13 |
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