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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Emmen |
40.25% (![]() | 26.6% (![]() | 33.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.92% (![]() | 53.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% (![]() | 74.66% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% (![]() | 25.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% (![]() | 60.9% (![]() |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% (![]() | 30.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% (![]() | 66.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 10.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
6 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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