Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
| 57.77% ( | 22.09% ( | 20.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( | 43.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( | 66.02% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( | 14.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.85% ( | 43.14% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( | 35.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.67% ( | 72.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 27 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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