Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 15.1% ( | 18.28% ( | 66.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.33% ( | 34.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.37% ( | 56.63% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( | 35.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.38% ( | 72.62% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( | 9.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.78% ( | 32.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.26% ( 1-0 @ 3.55% ( 2-0 @ 1.82% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 3-1 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 15.1% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0-3 @ 7.37% ( 1-4 @ 4.42% ( 0-4 @ 4.31% ( 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 2-4 @ 2.27% ( 1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0-5 @ 2.01% ( 2-5 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 4.43% Total : 66.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 42 |
| 4 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 16 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 | Groningen | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 13 |
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