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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Swansea logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Swansea

Aaronson (1'), Gnonto (86')
Ampadu (34'), Gnonto (87'), Tanaka (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darling (64'), Vipotnik (90+6')
Delcroix (39'), Franco (70'), O'Brien (83'), Cullen (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-2 Leeds
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Swansea City

Leeds have won 14 of their previous 16 Championship home matches, and we think that they will use fortress Elland Road to fire them to three more points in Saturday's fixture, especially as they have won each of their last four head-to-head meetings with Swansea. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSwansea City
76.39% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01) 15.28% (0.00099999999999945 0) 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 45.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58%39.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24%61.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)85.12% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 76.37%
    Swansea City 8.32%
    Draw 15.28%
Leeds UnitedDrawSwansea City
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.72%
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.29%
4-0 @ 6.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.52%
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 76.37%
1-1 @ 7.27%
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 15.28%
0-1 @ 2.96%
1-2 @ 2.47%
0-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 8.32%

How you voted: Leeds vs Swansea

Leeds United
84.5%
Draw
8.6%
Swansea City
6.9%
58
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Swansea
3-4
Leeds
Darling (8'), Cullen (45+3'), Bianchini (90')
Peart-Harris (90+2')
Solomon (20', 73'), Cabango (55' og.), Gnonto (90+1')
James (53'), Byram (57')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Swansea
0-4
Leeds

Wood (28'), Tymon (42'), Allen (68')
Summerville (8'), Piroe (10'), Gnonto (35', 72')
Piroe (65')
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
3-1
Swansea
Piroe (4'), Rutter (45+3'), James (61')
Paterson (1')
Lowe (73')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-1
Swansea

Alioski (21'), Phillips (95')
Routledge (90')
Fulton (78'), Byers (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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