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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 17.95% (  -0.87) | 23.21% (  0.53) | 58.84% (  0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 47.62% (  -3.13) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.59% (  -3.39) | 51.41% (  3.39) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.78% (  -3.04) | 73.22% (  3.03) | 
| Portsmouth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.5% (  -2.99) | 42.5% (  2.99) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.13% (  -2.66) | 78.87% (  2.66) | 
| Leeds United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.83% (  -1.08) | 17.17% (  1.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.57% (  -1.94) | 47.43% (  1.94) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Portsmouth | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 1-0 @ 6.25% (  0.34) 2-1 @ 4.71% (  -0.3) 2-0 @ 2.67% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.34% (  -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.18% (  -0.23) Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.95% | 1-1 @ 11% (  0.22) 0-0 @ 7.3% (  0.94) 2-2 @ 4.15% (  -0.43) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 12.85% (  1.24) 0-2 @ 11.32% (  0.71) 1-2 @ 9.69% (  -0.16) 0-3 @ 6.65% (  0.19) 1-3 @ 5.69% (  -0.31) 0-4 @ 2.93% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.51% (  -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.44% (  -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.07% (  -0.2) 0-5 @ 1.03% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.82% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 | 
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 | 
| P | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 | 
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 | 
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 | 
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 | 
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 | 
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 | 
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 | 
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 | 
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 | 
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 | 
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 | 
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