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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
Swansea logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Swansea

Saville (38')
Azeez (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eom (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Swansea
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Swansea City

Both teams will carry significant momentum into the weekend following their recent fine run of results, but with home advantage in their favour, we think that the Lions will do enough to edge out Swansea and claim their fifth consecutive victory at the Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawSwansea City
48.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 26.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 24.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)55.89% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.064 -0.06)77% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)22.93% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.101 -0.1)56.7% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05%37.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.84%
    Swansea City 24.84%
    Draw 26.31%
MillwallDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.84%

How you voted: Millwall vs Swansea

Millwall
53.2%
Draw
19.4%
Swansea City
27.4%
62
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Cullen (60')
De Norre (90+1')
Wintle (40'), Esse (42'), Tanganga (89'), Ivanovic (90+3')
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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