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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Millwall logo

Sunderland
1 - 0
Millwall

Hume (20')
Bellingham (13'), Mepham (26'), Isidor (69'), Watson (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emakhu (36'), Connolly (44'), De Norre (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 3-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Millwall

Millwall are capable of getting something from this match, and although they ideally need three points, we think that this will end in a draw. Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have ended in a draw, and we think that this trend will continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMillwall
59.76% (0.067 0.07) 22.89% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 17.35% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.47% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97% (0.195 0.2)51.03% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.11% (0.173 0.17)72.89% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.094000000000008 0.09)16.72% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (0.162 0.16)46.62% (-0.155 -0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (0.102 0.1)43.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (0.083000000000002 0.08)79.3% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 59.76%
    Millwall 17.35%
    Draw 22.89%
SunderlandDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.86% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 59.76%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 17.35%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Millwall

Sunderland
60.6%
Draw
30.3%
Millwall
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Azeez (90+3')
Esse (86')
Connolly (10')
Aleksic (77'), Mepham (87')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sunderland
0-1
Millwall

Clarke (12'), Ballard (87'), Bellingham (90+1')
Watmore (71' og.)
Obafemi (43'), Flemming (87')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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