We said: Preston North End 1-1 Millwall
Millwall may have gone 11 games without defeat against Preston, but four of their seven head-to-head matches have finished all square, and with the two sides level on 41 points, we think that a close-fought encounter will result in the spoils being shared.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 35.53%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 2-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (13.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.