MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 12:13:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Freiburg logo

Wolfsburg
0 - 1
Freiburg


Koulierakis (8'), El Amine Amoura (40'), Hasenhuttl (41'), Paredes (60')
Arnold (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Freiburg

All of the momentum seems to be with Freiburg ahead of this weekend, and given the strength of their away record, they are likely to take all three points once again. That being said, Wolfsburg will be keen to finish the season on a positive note, and after ending their losing streak last time out, they could make this game a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFreiburg
41.98% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 24.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 33.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (0.151 0.15)42.72% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (0.148 0.15)65.12% (-0.145 -0.14)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.11 0.11)20.5% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (0.16999999999999 0.17)52.99% (-0.168 -0.17)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.037000000000006 0.04)24.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.052 0.05)59.27% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 41.98%
    Freiburg 33.75%
    Draw 24.26%
WolfsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 41.98%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Freiburg

Wolfsburg
42.4%
Draw
9.1%
Freiburg
48.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Kubler (42', 51'), Gregoritsch (61')
Kubler (22'), Gregoritsch (31'), Rosenfelder (76'), Eggestein (85')
Wind (75'), Svanberg (83')
Vavro (88')
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
1-2
Wolfsburg
Bornauw (41' og.)
Gregoritsch (55'), Sallai (67'), Hofler (73'), Holer (90+2')
Sildillia (64')
Arnold (82'), Lacroix (90')
Arnold (62'), Bornauw (90+3')
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
0-1
Freiburg

Arnold (85')
Gregoritsch (74')
Hofler (57'), Sallai (77'), Rohl (85'), Holer (86')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
2-0
Wolfsburg
Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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