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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 41.98% ( | 24.27% ( | 33.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( | 42.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( | 65.12% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( | 20.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47% ( | 52.99% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( | 24.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.73% ( | 59.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.75% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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