Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 44.54% ( | 26.2% ( | 29.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( | 52.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( | 74.43% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( | 23.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( | 57.68% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( | 32.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( | 69.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.26% |