Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
44.54% (![]() | 26.2% (![]() | 29.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% (![]() | 52.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% (![]() | 74.43% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% (![]() | 23.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.31% (![]() | 57.68% (![]() |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% (![]() | 32.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.77% (![]() | 69.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.13% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 12.45% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.63% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.26% |