Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
| 68.71% ( | 18.47% ( | 12.82% |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( | 40.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( | 63.34% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.13% ( | 10.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.02% ( | 34.98% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% ( | 43.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% ( | 79.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.54% ( 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 4-0 @ 4.74% 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 5-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 4.05% Total : 68.7% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.47% | 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 1-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.82% |