Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 44.02% ( | 24.25% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% ( | 43.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.28% ( | 65.72% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( | 19.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.05% ( | 51.94% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( | 26.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.67% ( | 61.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 31 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 92 | 20 | 72 | 78 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 46 |
| 5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Hearts | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 39 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 38 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 38 |
| 9 | Ross County | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | Dundee | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 67 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 26 |
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