Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Cappielow Park
Morton
2 - 1
Motherwell
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-5 Morton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Motherwell 5-0 Ross County
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Greenock Morton 1-2 Motherwell
We expect an exciting encounter on Friday between two sides full of confidence and momentum after big league victories last time out. Greenock Morton certainly have the ability to cause problems for Motherwell, and we do not anticipate a straightforward away triumph but see the visitors having enough to get through and book a quarter-final spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Motherwell |
48.79% ( -0) | 25.04% | 26.16% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
