Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
53.69% (![]() | 23.55% (![]() | 22.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% (![]() | 46.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% (![]() | 69.04% (![]() |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.65% (![]() | 17.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.27% (![]() | 47.74% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% (![]() | 34.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% (![]() | 71.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.16% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |