

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 53.69% ( | 23.55% ( | 22.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( | 46.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( | 69.04% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( | 17.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.27% ( | 47.74% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( | 34.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.46% ( | 71.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
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