

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 40.31% ( | 25.94% ( | 33.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( | 50.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( | 72.21% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( | 24.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.91% ( | 59.09% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( | 28.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.93% ( | 64.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
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