Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 Ayr United - Scottish Championship - April 16, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Apr 16, 2022 at 3pm UK at East End Park

Dunfermline

2 - 1

Ayr

Cole (79'), Todorov (86')
O'Hara (37'), Polworth (68'), Pybus (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Muirhead (35' pen.)
Muirhead (78')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
51.21%	24.81%	23.97%

Both teams to score 51.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.2%

50.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.31%

72.68%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17%

19.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08%

51.91%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3%

72.69%

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 51.21%

Ayr United 23.97%

Draw 24.8%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 1% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.97%

Head to Head

Feb 5, 2022 3pm

Ayr

1-1

Dunfermline

Martin (17' og.)
McGinty (32'), Dempsey (39'), Murdoch (79')

Donaldson (10')
Chalmers (46'), Pybus (54'), Donaldson (68')

Nov 20, 2021 3pm

Dunfermline

3-0

Ayr

McCann (14', 52'), Dow (40')
McCann (41')

Fjortoft (15')

Sep 11, 2021 3pm

Ayr

3-1

Dunfermline

Adeloye (3', 63'), Salkeld (25')
Murdoch (39'), Albinson (76')

Todorov (28')
Graham (78'), Todorov (90')

Apr 10, 2021 3pm

Ayr

1-1

Dunfermline

Miller (24')

McManus (12')

Jan 23, 2021 3pm

Dunfermline

0-0

Ayr

Form Guide

Kilmarnock 2-0 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 2-0 Raith Rovers

Inverness 2-0 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 4-1 Partick

Dunfermline 1-1 Morton

Hamilton 2-2 Dunfermline

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Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Ayr United	35	-15	36
9	Dunfermline Athletic	35	-16	35
10	Queen of the South	35	-19	30

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Greenock Morton	35	-8	40
8	Ayr United	35	-15	36
9	Dunfermline Athletic	35	-16	35

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Arbroath	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ayr United Ayr	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cove Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dundee	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Greenock Morton Morton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Hamilton Academical Hamilton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Inverness Caledonian Thistle Inverness	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Partick Thistle Partick	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Queen's Park Queen's Park	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Raith Rovers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Form, Standings, Stats