| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 | 
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 | 
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 | 
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 | 
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United | 
| 59.49% | 22.97% | 17.53% | 
| Both teams to score 47.57% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.93% | 51.07% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.07% | 72.92% | 
| Arbroath Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.17% | 16.82% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.19% | 46.81% | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.2% | 42.8% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.88% | 79.12% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United | 
| 1-0 @ 12.83% 2-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.82% Total : 59.48%  | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.97%  | 0-1 @ 6.11% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.53%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 54 | 
| 2 | Dundee | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 | 
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 49 | 
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 | 
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 | 
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 39 | 
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 | 
| 8 | Arbroath | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 28 | 
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 26 | 
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 | 
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