MX23RW : Sunday, July 31 06:26:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arbroath
Ayr United
Cove Rangers
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Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Apr 17, 2021 at 12pm UK at Gayfield Park
Arbroath
4 - 0
Ayr
Little (11'), Williamson (24'), Hamilton (27'), Hilson (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Miller (31'), Muirhead (34')
The Match
Match Report
Ricky Little, Ben Williamson and Jack Hamilton put the home side 3-0 up inside 30 minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawAyr United
42.53%26.22%31.25%
Both teams to score 52.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91%52.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18%73.82%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35%58.65%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82%67.18%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 42.52%
    Ayr United 31.25%
    Draw 26.22%
ArbroathDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.25%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Arbroath
2-1
Ayr
Craigen (36', 38')
Virtanen (58'), Thomson (67'), McKenna (86'), Hamilton (90+4')
Baird (88')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Ayr
1-1
Arbroath
Kelly (22')
Moore (77')
McKenna (48' pen.)
Donnelly (78'), Stewart (82')

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