Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.